Predicting and Explaining Currency Crisis in Sudan

Dr. Alamedin Bannaga PhD

Abstract


Sudan is one of the countries that suffer enormously from currency crisis. The study adopts statistical methods to identify crisis episodes and investigate behaviors of some economic indicators that can predict crisis incidence. The indicators are then utilized to characterize the causes and implications of the currency crisis. The study finds that the most powerful predictors of currency crisis in Sudan are international reserves, political crisis, ratio of debt services to exports and inflation.

Keywords


Currency crisis; Sudan; exchange rate in developing countries.

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18533/ijbsr.v2i7.122

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International journal of business and social research (Print)
ISSN 2164-2540

International journal of business and social research (Online)
ISSN 2164-2559

[International Journal of Business and Social Research (IJBSR) previously published by MIR Center for Socio-Economic Research, MD, USA. From February 2018 this journal is published by the LAR Center Press, OR, USA]