Predicting and Explaining Currency Crisis in Sudan
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18533/ijbsr.v2i7.122Keywords:
Currency crisis, Sudan, exchange rate in developing countries.Abstract
Sudan is one of the countries that suffer enormously from currency crisis. The study adopts statistical methods to identify crisis episodes and investigate behaviors of some economic indicators that can predict crisis incidence. The indicators are then utilized to characterize the causes and implications of the currency crisis. The study finds that the most powerful predictors of currency crisis in Sudan are international reserves, political crisis, ratio of debt services to exports and inflation.Downloads
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